{ "claims": [ { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-23", "e-src-24", "e-src-25", "e-src-26" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-bad00f7285b0", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "2007 年的 200 萬到 500 萬，很可能是兩種推算並列，不是量測區間；500 萬接近「人口 2 倍」的經驗法則，不應再當成台北的鼠口引用。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-24", "e-src-25", "e-src-27", "e-src-28" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-7e45b17d19ae", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "用公開查得到的假設，台北老鼠總數只能說落在數十萬到數百萬之間，最低和最高相差約 12 倍。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-9", "e-src-10", "e-src-78" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-8055cfbcdc22", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "台北鼠類通報在個案前每月約 10 件，2026 年 2 月跳到 257 件後回落，4 月仍約為個案前三個月平均的 7 倍。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-9", "e-src-14", "e-src-15", "e-src-16", "e-src-17" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d698ac6845b8", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "市府 4 月宣布陳情和鼠藥申請量「均下降約 7 成」、防治「已具階段性成效」，陳情的比較起點是被新聞推高的 2 月高峰；市長 4 月 9 日也用了同一組比較。和個案前相比，3、4 月的通報仍是 7 到 8 倍。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-9", "e-src-10", "e-src-13" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-02b91f8e7bda", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "市府用通報說「近 3 年沒有明顯上升」，又說「數量有在減少」，兩句都沒有公開的量測支持；局長說的「全年 200 多件」，和今年 1 到 4 月已有 460 件對不上。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-13", "e-src-48", "e-src-49", "e-src-50" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-e8aa73c2a3ab", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "市府自 2017 年起每年在一個拆遷市場做前後測、計算防除率，成果送過議會但沒有公開；議員稱索取 2014 年以來的密度測定資料遭拒。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-47", "e-src-48", "e-src-51", "e-src-52" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-6633e27499f4", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "115 年度病媒管制計畫要環保局「執行本市各區鼠類防除成效監測調查」，115 法定預算和 116 預算案也都照 12 區編了 660 個家鼠密度測定籠；但議員引述環保局說沒有針對老鼠密調，局長說這筆預算只用在一個市場。我們判斷，這很可能是規則和錢都在、全市分區量測沒做的行政怠惰，責任在臺北市環保局。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-51", "e-src-65" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-bb46f9a55243", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "環保局 116 年度預算案（7 月公開）新增 239 萬元的「智慧化城市AI病媒防治預測管理計畫」，比議會 10/1 決議早；全書找不到任何一項全市鼠類相對密度調查。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-36", "e-src-37", "e-src-38" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-708870564836", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "環保局公布的 4 到 8 月數字（4,550 隻、46,638 個籠、1,977 公斤、5,954 個洞）都是投入量；籠數不是籠夜，不能算出捕獲率，也不能推回鼠數。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-10", "e-src-39" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-49ee752afb34", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "捕鼠數口徑不一：市府提供的永春市場捕鼠數只有 2 隻，議員轉述的自治會紀錄則是今年 1 月 25 日到 4 月捕獲 163 隻。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-41", "e-src-42" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-2767d1b36dfc", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "我們有理由懷疑，市府彙整的局處防治成果裡，有一部分是民間工地自填的數字。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-42", "e-src-43", "e-src-44", "e-src-45" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a2c21196ae04", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "台北的工地防鼠規則在紙面上不比紐約 LL109 鬆，兩邊都要求合格業者；差別在台北是行政計畫，不是法律，而且另外疊了一層由工地每週自填的數字。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-9", "e-src-13", "e-src-61", "e-src-65" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-3fce6bedfa72", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "環保局 5 月 13 日說要「擴大執行」籠夜法，一週後的書面答復退成「再評估研擬擴大調查之可行作法」；10 月 1 日，議會以預算決議要求「由專家建立全市鼠類相對密度調查」，沒有寫期限。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-10", "e-src-18", "e-src-19", "e-src-20" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-b40372dfec24", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "用公開資料回答不了台北老鼠的空間分布：分區資料在研考會和環保局手上，沒有公開；2 月、4 月兩次全市填洞，市府承認沒記地點。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-20", "e-src-36", "e-src-59" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d8dfbc74fa0d", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "市府 5 月答應由資訊局建置鼠類防治可視覺化網站；到 10 月 7 日，公開資料中找不到這個網站。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-55", "e-src-56", "e-src-57", "e-src-58" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-63f1531277e1", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "中央 2012 年的作業原則被地方指出缺少抽樣和頻率規範，這是制度漏洞；但滅鼠週停辦後，工作和經費已回歸地方，台北沒有把密度調查擴大回全市，這是執行面的選擇，責任在臺北市環保局。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-21", "e-src-22", "e-src-46", "e-src-56", "e-src-66", "e-src-67", "e-src-68", "e-src-69", "e-src-70", "e-src-71", "e-src-72" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "查過的台灣縣市沒有一個既定期量鼠密度、又公開結果，「只有台北沒有」不成立；但新北逐筆公開了 3,964 處列管地點，證明公開地點不必等中央。" }, { "boundary": "只支持這句主張與其引用來源；不得外推成本頁「證據還撐不住」列出的結論。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-src-10", "e-src-20", "e-src-51", "e-src-65" ], "id": "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-c66c163684bf", "scope": { "geography": "臺北市", "population": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "time": "2026-10-10" }, "status": "supported", "text": "我們有理由懷疑，在沒有先建立分點、可比較的相對密度調查之前，AI 熱區預測模型能用的訓練資料很可能主要是通報。" } ], "evidence": [ { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-1", "locator": "中央社：漢他病毒死亡個案與捷運車廂老鼠", "source_id": "src-1", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-2", "locator": "疾管署傳染病統計：漢他病毒症候群", "source_id": "src-2", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-3", "locator": "臺中市研考會 115 年 5 月列管案件月報（引疾管署）", "source_id": "src-3", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-4", "locator": "中央社：民眾 Threads 稱雙連市場見十幾隻老鼠", "source_id": "src-4", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-5", "locator": "華視：雙連市場攤商談鼠患與清消", "source_id": "src-5", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-6", "locator": "中央社：雙連至中山線形公園投放老鼠藥", "source_id": "src-6", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-7", "locator": "新頭殼：議員引 2007 年 200 萬至 500 萬估算", "source_id": "src-7", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-8", "locator": "中央社：市府官員確認過往估算、市長稱近期邀專家", "source_id": "src-8", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-9", "locator": "臺北市議會市政總質詢繼續辦理情形彙編", "source_id": "src-9", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-02b91f8e7bda", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-3fce6bedfa72", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-8055cfbcdc22", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d698ac6845b8" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-10", "locator": "臺北市議會 5 月 14 日速記錄（秦慧珠等質詢）", "source_id": "src-10", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-02b91f8e7bda", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-49ee752afb34", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-8055cfbcdc22", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-b40372dfec24", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-c66c163684bf" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-11", "locator": "窩窩：台北鼠藥與鼠患報導", "source_id": "src-11", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-12", "locator": "Reddit 轉貼市民 Facebook 貼文", "source_id": "src-12", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-13", "locator": "臺北市政府書面答復議會（5 月）", "source_id": "src-13", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-02b91f8e7bda", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-3fce6bedfa72", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-e8aa73c2a3ab" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-14", "locator": "臺北市議會 4 月 21 日速記錄（環保局工作報告）", "source_id": "src-14", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d698ac6845b8" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-15", "locator": "臺北市政府書面答復（4 月）", "source_id": "src-15", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d698ac6845b8" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-16", "locator": "中央社：環保局說明通報下降約七成", "source_id": "src-16", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d698ac6845b8" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-17", "locator": "臺北市議會 4 月 9 日速記錄（市長答詢）", "source_id": "src-17", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d698ac6845b8" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-18", "locator": "臺北市資料大平臺：1999 派工資料", "source_id": "src-18", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-b40372dfec24" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-19", "locator": "Rat Radar 分區統計", "source_id": "src-19", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-b40372dfec24" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-20", "locator": "臺北市政府書面答復（5 月 29 日函復，填洞未記地點）", "source_id": "src-20", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-b40372dfec24", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-c66c163684bf", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d8dfbc74fa0d" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-21", "locator": "新北市環保局防鼠專區", "source_id": "src-21", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-22", "locator": "新北市府：列管 3,964 處", "source_id": "src-22", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-23", "locator": "鏡週刊轉載三立：2007 年鼠數估算方法", "source_id": "src-23", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-bad00f7285b0" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-24", "locator": "臺北市主計處：96 年底戶籍人口", "source_id": "src-24", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-7e45b17d19ae", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-bad00f7285b0" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-25", "locator": "報導者：都市鼠患", "source_id": "src-25", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-7e45b17d19ae", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-bad00f7285b0" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-26", "locator": "壹新聞：蔣萬安稱舊推估會失真", "source_id": "src-26", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-bad00f7285b0" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-27", "locator": "Significance：紐約真的人鼠一樣多嗎", "source_id": "src-27", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-7e45b17d19ae" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-28", "locator": "紐約市都市計畫局：2010 年普查人口", "source_id": "src-28", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-7e45b17d19ae" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-29", "locator": "巴黎市府：關於巴黎的老鼠", "source_id": "src-29", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-30", "locator": "多倫多市府 2025 年鼠類計畫背景文件", "source_id": "src-30", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-31", "locator": "紐約衛生局：鼠類檢查", "source_id": "src-31", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-32", "locator": "香港食環署：鼠患參考指數", "source_id": "src-32", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-33", "locator": "紐約衛生局鼠患熱區報告", "source_id": "src-33", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-34", "locator": "芝加哥城市鼠類研究（Frontiers 2018）", "source_id": "src-34", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-35", "locator": "溫哥華城市褐鼠研究（Frontiers 2019）", "source_id": "src-35", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-36", "locator": "臺北市環保局：抓捕鼠隻統計", "source_id": "src-36", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-708870564836", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d8dfbc74fa0d" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-37", "locator": "臺北市環保局：填補鼠洞統計", "source_id": "src-37", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-708870564836" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-38", "locator": "市長施政報告書面答復（7 月 31 日函復）", "source_id": "src-38", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-708870564836" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-39", "locator": "太報轉引自由時報：永春市場自治會抓鼠獎勵", "source_id": "src-39", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-49ee752afb34" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-40", "locator": "臺北市 5 月 19 日市政會議紀錄", "source_id": "src-40", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-41", "locator": "臺北市議會 5 月 25 日速記錄（工務部門顏若芳質詢）", "source_id": "src-41", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-2767d1b36dfc" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-42", "locator": "都發局 6 月 3 日函原件（營建公會轉載）", "source_id": "src-42", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-2767d1b36dfc", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a2c21196ae04" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-43", "locator": "臺北市建築工地鼠類防治計畫", "source_id": "src-43", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a2c21196ae04" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-44", "locator": "紐約 2022 年第 109 號地方法", "source_id": "src-44", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a2c21196ae04" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-45", "locator": "紐約建築局 LL109 公告", "source_id": "src-45", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a2c21196ae04" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-46", "locator": "高雄市 106 年度家鼠防除工作執行計畫", "source_id": "src-46", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-47", "locator": "臺北市 115 年度病媒管制計畫", "source_id": "src-47", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-6633e27499f4" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-48", "locator": "臺北市議會 5 月 14 日速記錄（陳賢蔚等質詢）", "source_id": "src-48", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-6633e27499f4", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-e8aa73c2a3ab" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-49", "locator": "臺北市議會 5 月 12 日速記錄（鍾佩玲質詢）", "source_id": "src-49", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-e8aa73c2a3ab" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-50", "locator": "臺北市環保局 2022 年大事紀要", "source_id": "src-50", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-e8aa73c2a3ab" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-51", "locator": "臺北市環保局 116 年度預算案", "source_id": "src-51", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-6633e27499f4", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-bb46f9a55243", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-c66c163684bf" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-52", "locator": "臺北市環保局 115 年度法定預算", "source_id": "src-52", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-6633e27499f4" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-53", "locator": "115W03-1 契約變更公告轉載", "source_id": "src-53", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-54", "locator": "中央社：環保局長談為何不估鼠數", "source_id": "src-54", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-55", "locator": "環境部 5 月 7 日新聞稿", "source_id": "src-55", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-63f1531277e1" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-56", "locator": "新北市環保局公告", "source_id": "src-56", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-63f1531277e1", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-57", "locator": "臺北市環保局 103 年度決算", "source_id": "src-57", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-63f1531277e1" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-58", "locator": "鏡週刊轉載三立：苗博雅指 2015 年停辦調查", "source_id": "src-58", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-63f1531277e1" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-59", "locator": "知新聞：環保局長稱將做網站", "source_id": "src-59", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d8dfbc74fa0d" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-60", "locator": "中央社：大巨蛋比賽因老鼠中斷", "source_id": "src-60", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-61", "locator": "中央社：環保局稱將擴大執行籠夜法", "source_id": "src-61", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-3fce6bedfa72" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-62", "locator": "南港區公所 115 年 6 月議會工作報告", "source_id": "src-62", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-63", "locator": "建管處 7 月 28 日函（研商會議紀錄）", "source_id": "src-63", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-64", "locator": "臺北市議會影音索引：8 月 4 日鼠類防治精進專案報告", "source_id": "src-64", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-65", "locator": "臺北市議會 10 月 1 日警政衛生委員會會議紀錄", "source_id": "src-65", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-3fce6bedfa72", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-bb46f9a55243", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-c66c163684bf" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-66", "locator": "聯合報：新北林口試辦鼠類監測", "source_id": "src-66", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-67", "locator": "台中市府：2017 年大雅區家鼠密度調查", "source_id": "src-67", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-68", "locator": "台中市府：13 項防治措施", "source_id": "src-68", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-69", "locator": "聯合報：新竹建立鼠患地圖", "source_id": "src-69", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-70", "locator": "桃園環保局：環境消毒成果", "source_id": "src-70", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-71", "locator": "台南市府：港埠鼠隻病毒監測", "source_id": "src-71", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-72", "locator": "中央社：彰化籌劃老鼠密度調查", "source_id": "src-72", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-73", "locator": "民視：議員談偵防服務使用量", "source_id": "src-73", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-74", "locator": "華視：里長質疑偵防師申請門檻", "source_id": "src-74", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-75", "locator": "中央社：環保局稱優先透過管委會", "source_id": "src-75", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-76", "locator": "TVBS：雙連市場自治會長談鼠患", "source_id": "src-76", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-77", "locator": "中央社：公園處填補兩千多個鼠洞", "source_id": "src-77", "supports": [] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [], "id": "e-src-78", "locator": "中央社：議會專案報告公布鼠類陳情件數", "source_id": "src-78", "supports": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-8055cfbcdc22" ] }, { "bounds_unknowns": [ "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-35871d2e394b", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-719f52918f96", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-73b02c7045d0", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-8c187b6da1cf", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-95cb27b6a607", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-c15b284124d8", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-cf4e90784c7c", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d041822d59a3", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-dbbb382f6cf6", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-de46cd2ae81f", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-edd3f9953a89" ], "id": "e-page", "locator": "頁面「還不知道、而且會改變結論的」區段", "source_id": "src-page", "supports": [] } ], "inquiry": { "id": "pursuit_812ea4572db5446a329b", "reader_promise": "台北全市有幾隻老鼠，沒有人量得出來；換一組假設，答案就差約 12 倍。市府自己的計畫要環保局做「各區」監測，今年和明年的預算也都照 12 區編了量鼠的籠子，實際上卻每年只量一個拆遷市場，結果也不公開。明年的預算新編了 AI 預測，全市密度調查一項都沒有。", "root_question": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開", "updated_at": "2026-10-10T14:54:36+00:00" }, "queries": [ { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-bad00f7285b0", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-7e45b17d19ae", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-8055cfbcdc22", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d698ac6845b8", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-02b91f8e7bda", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-e8aa73c2a3ab", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-6633e27499f4", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-bb46f9a55243", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-708870564836", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-49ee752afb34", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-2767d1b36dfc", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a2c21196ae04", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-3fce6bedfa72", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-b40372dfec24", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d8dfbc74fa0d", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-63f1531277e1", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27", "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-c66c163684bf" ], "unknown_ids": [ "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d041822d59a3", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-dbbb382f6cf6", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-95cb27b6a607", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-8c187b6da1cf", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-cf4e90784c7c", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-de46cd2ae81f", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-73b02c7045d0", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-719f52918f96", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-edd3f9953a89", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-c15b284124d8", "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-35871d2e394b" ] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-5a815898b72f", "text": "台北有幾隻老鼠？市府數得出 46,638 個捕鼠籠，量過的前後測卻沒有公開" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-bad00f7285b0" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-bad00f7285b0", "text": "2007 年的 200 萬到 500 萬，很可能是兩種推算並列，不是量測區間；500 萬接近「人口 2 倍」的經驗法則，不應再當成台北的鼠口引用。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-7e45b17d19ae" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-7e45b17d19ae", "text": "用公開查得到的假設，台北老鼠總數只能說落在數十萬到數百萬之間，最低和最高相差約 12 倍。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-8055cfbcdc22" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-8055cfbcdc22", "text": "台北鼠類通報在個案前每月約 10 件，2026 年 2 月跳到 257 件後回落，4 月仍約為個案前三個月平均的 7 倍。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d698ac6845b8" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d698ac6845b8", "text": "市府 4 月宣布陳情和鼠藥申請量「均下降約 7 成」、防治「已具階段性成效」，陳情的比較起點是被新聞推高的 2 月高峰；市長 4 月 9 日也用了同一組比較。和個案前相比，3、4 月的通報仍是 7 到 8 倍。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-02b91f8e7bda" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-02b91f8e7bda", "text": "市府用通報說「近 3 年沒有明顯上升」，又說「數量有在減少」，兩句都沒有公開的量測支持；局長說的「全年 200 多件」，和今年 1 到 4 月已有 460 件對不上。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-e8aa73c2a3ab" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-e8aa73c2a3ab", "text": "市府自 2017 年起每年在一個拆遷市場做前後測、計算防除率，成果送過議會但沒有公開；議員稱索取 2014 年以來的密度測定資料遭拒。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-6633e27499f4" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-6633e27499f4", "text": "115 年度病媒管制計畫要環保局「執行本市各區鼠類防除成效監測調查」，115 法定預算和 116 預算案也都照 12 區編了 660 個家鼠密度測定籠；但議員引述環保局說沒有針對老鼠密調，局長說這筆預算只用在一個市場。我們判斷，這很可能是規則和錢都在、全市分區量測沒做的行政怠惰，責任在臺北市環保局。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-bb46f9a55243" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-bb46f9a55243", "text": "環保局 116 年度預算案（7 月公開）新增 239 萬元的「智慧化城市AI病媒防治預測管理計畫」，比議會 10/1 決議早；全書找不到任何一項全市鼠類相對密度調查。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-708870564836" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-708870564836", "text": "環保局公布的 4 到 8 月數字（4,550 隻、46,638 個籠、1,977 公斤、5,954 個洞）都是投入量；籠數不是籠夜，不能算出捕獲率，也不能推回鼠數。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-49ee752afb34" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-49ee752afb34", "text": "捕鼠數口徑不一：市府提供的永春市場捕鼠數只有 2 隻，議員轉述的自治會紀錄則是今年 1 月 25 日到 4 月捕獲 163 隻。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-2767d1b36dfc" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-2767d1b36dfc", "text": "我們有理由懷疑，市府彙整的局處防治成果裡，有一部分是民間工地自填的數字。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a2c21196ae04" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a2c21196ae04", "text": "台北的工地防鼠規則在紙面上不比紐約 LL109 鬆，兩邊都要求合格業者；差別在台北是行政計畫，不是法律，而且另外疊了一層由工地每週自填的數字。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-3fce6bedfa72" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-3fce6bedfa72", "text": "環保局 5 月 13 日說要「擴大執行」籠夜法，一週後的書面答復退成「再評估研擬擴大調查之可行作法」；10 月 1 日，議會以預算決議要求「由專家建立全市鼠類相對密度調查」，沒有寫期限。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-b40372dfec24" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-b40372dfec24", "text": "用公開資料回答不了台北老鼠的空間分布：分區資料在研考會和環保局手上，沒有公開；2 月、4 月兩次全市填洞，市府承認沒記地點。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d8dfbc74fa0d" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d8dfbc74fa0d", "text": "市府 5 月答應由資訊局建置鼠類防治可視覺化網站；到 10 月 7 日，公開資料中找不到這個網站。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-63f1531277e1" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-63f1531277e1", "text": "中央 2012 年的作業原則被地方指出缺少抽樣和頻率規範，這是制度漏洞；但滅鼠週停辦後，工作和經費已回歸地方，台北沒有把密度調查擴大回全市，這是執行面的選擇，責任在臺北市環保局。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-a63ab15b0e27", "text": "查過的台灣縣市沒有一個既定期量鼠密度、又公開結果，「只有台北沒有」不成立；但新北逐筆公開了 3,964 處列管地點，證明公開地點不必等中央。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [ "claim-taipei-rat-count-measurement-c66c163684bf" ], "unknown_ids": [] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-c66c163684bf", "text": "我們有理由懷疑，在沒有先建立分點、可比較的相對密度調查之前，AI 熱區預測模型能用的訓練資料很可能主要是通報。" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [], "unknown_ids": [ "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d041822d59a3" ] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-d041822d59a3", "text": "2007 年鼠類估算的原始報告（樣本、捕獲數、公式、研究者）在哪裡？" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [], "unknown_ids": [ "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-dbbb382f6cf6" ] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-dbbb382f6cf6", "text": "市府送議會的「歷年市場鼠類防治標的及成果」，以及 2014 年以來的家鼠密度測定資料，寫了什麼？" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [], "unknown_ids": [ "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-95cb27b6a607" ] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-95cb27b6a607", "text": "每年照 12 區編列的 660 個家鼠密度測定籠實際放在哪裡、量到了什麼？計畫寫的「各區鼠類防除成效監測調查」有沒有做？" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [], "unknown_ids": [ "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-8c187b6da1cf" ] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-8c187b6da1cf", "text": "市府說下降的「見鼠率」，由誰量、在哪裡量、用什麼方法、數值多少？" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [], "unknown_ids": [ "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-cf4e90784c7c" ] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-cf4e90784c7c", "text": "10 月 1 日會上，環保局怎麼回應全市密度調查的決議？AI 病媒預測計畫要用什麼資料？" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [], "unknown_ids": [ "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-de46cd2ae81f" ] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-de46cd2ae81f", "text": "分區的 1999 鼠類陳情、捕獲與密度資料，以及市府答應的可視覺化網站，什麼時候公開？" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [], "unknown_ids": [ "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-73b02c7045d0" ] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-73b02c7045d0", "text": "工地登打的「各局處鼠類防治執行成果表」有哪些欄位？環保局怎麼彙整？" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [], "unknown_ids": [ "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-719f52918f96" ] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-719f52918f96", "text": "115W03 等契約的需求書、驗收條款、驗收紀錄和見鼠率調查結果是什麼？" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [], "unknown_ids": [ "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-edd3f9953a89" ] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-edd3f9953a89", "text": "2015 年為什麼停辦全市密度調查？" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [], "unknown_ids": [ "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-c15b284124d8" ] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-c15b284124d8", "text": "環境部 2012 年家鼠防除密度調查作業原則的全文，有沒有規範抽樣和頻率？" }, { "expects": { "claim_ids": [], "unknown_ids": [ "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-35871d2e394b" ] }, "id": "query-taipei-rat-count-measurement-35871d2e394b", "text": "高雄近年的前後測、新北林口監測試辦和新竹鼠患地圖的結果是什麼？" } ], "schema": "walkingbook-public-knowledge-v0", "source": { "path": "content/walkingbook-site/pages/be92e3755e55665cd4d0a9e86704ccc8114fe5d3e3a0de4897373b62a5f1233f.html", "sha256": "be92e3755e55665cd4d0a9e86704ccc8114fe5d3e3a0de4897373b62a5f1233f" }, "sources": [ { "id": "src-1", "published_at": "", "source_type": "public_source", "title": 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80%，也可能推翻「一年只做一個市場」的判斷。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-page" ], "id": "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-dbbb382f6cf6", "question": "市府送議會的「歷年市場鼠類防治標的及成果」，以及 2014 年以來的家鼠密度測定資料，寫了什麼？", "status": "unknown" }, { "changes_claim_ids": [], "closure": "如果有各區紀錄，第六節「規則在、沒照做」的判斷要改成「有量，但沒公開」；如果確認沒做，判斷會升到「確定」。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-page" ], "id": "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-95cb27b6a607", "question": "每年照 12 區編列的 660 個家鼠密度測定籠實際放在哪裡、量到了什麼？計畫寫的「各區鼠類防除成效監測調查」有沒有做？", "status": "unknown" }, { "changes_claim_ids": [], "closure": "如果它是固定地點、固定方法的調查而且確實下降，「已具成效沒有公開量測支撐」的批評要改寫成「有量，但沒公開」。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-page" ], "id": "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-8c187b6da1cf", "question": "市府說下降的「見鼠率」，由誰量、在哪裡量、用什麼方法、數值多少？", "status": "unknown" }, { "changes_claim_ids": [], "closure": "如果 AI 計畫只用通報資料，第七節的懷疑會加強；如果市府追加全市密度調查並寫出點數與時程，批評要改寫成「明年開始做，待檢驗」。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-page" ], "id": "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-cf4e90784c7c", "question": "10 月 1 日會上，環保局怎麼回應全市密度調查的決議？AI 病媒預測計畫要用什麼資料？", "status": "unknown" }, { "changes_claim_ids": [], "closure": "可以部分回答台北老鼠集中在哪裡，也能檢驗民間平台的通報分布。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-page" ], "id": "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-de46cd2ae81f", "question": "分區的 1999 鼠類陳情、捕獲與密度資料，以及市府答應的可視覺化網站，什麼時候公開？", "status": "unknown" }, { "changes_claim_ids": [], "closure": "可以確認或推翻「局處成果裡混有工地自填數字」的懷疑。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-page" ], "id": "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-73b02c7045d0", "question": "工地登打的「各局處鼠類防治執行成果表」有哪些欄位？環保局怎麼彙整？", "status": "unknown" }, { "changes_claim_ids": [], "closure": "如果契約裡有前後測驗收，「公告層級看不到成效驗收」的判斷要改寫。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-page" ], "id": "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-719f52918f96", "question": "115W03 等契約的需求書、驗收條款、驗收紀錄和見鼠率調查結果是什麼？", "status": "unknown" }, { "changes_claim_ids": [], "closure": "可以確認或推翻「跟著全國滅鼠週一起停」的懷疑。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-page" ], "id": "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-edd3f9953a89", "question": "2015 年為什麼停辦全市密度調查？", "status": "unknown" }, { "changes_claim_ids": [], "closure": "如果已經規範，「中央規則有洞」的判斷要收窄，責任會更集中在地方執行。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-page" ], "id": "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-c15b284124d8", "question": "環境部 2012 年家鼠防除密度調查作業原則的全文，有沒有規範抽樣和頻率？", "status": "unknown" }, { "changes_claim_ids": [], "closure": "如果有縣市定期公開分區密度，「全台都沒有」這一半要改寫，台北落後的判斷會更重。", "evidence_refs": [ "e-page" ], "id": "unknown-taipei-rat-count-measurement-35871d2e394b", "question": "高雄近年的前後測、新北林口監測試辦和新竹鼠患地圖的結果是什麼？", "status": "unknown" } ] }